basketballalpha.com↗
basketballalpha.com↗
We collect and model league data, then build software that helps people understand what happened in a game and what is likely to happen next. The work is statistical: sourcing records carefully, keeping them consistent over time, and documenting how every derived number was produced.
Collection, normalization, and historical archives for the leagues we cover.
Statistical models and derived metrics, documented so a user can trace how a figure was reached.
Subscription software built for a defined audience, run and supported in-house.
An analytics and research subscription for professional basketball. Player and team metrics, rotation and availability context, and historical data, updated through the season.
Additional sport-specific brands are in development.
In sports markets, the overround is the margin built into a set of prices. The implied probabilities across every outcome sum to more than 100%.
It’s the gap between what a number says and what’s actually true. Studying that gap is what we do.
